🇺🇸 Relief for Rupee After India Excluded from US Tariff Hike

The Relief for Rupee After India Excluded from US Tariff Hike speaks volumes about how global trade decisions can instantaneously impact a currency. On July 8, 2025, US President Trump announced planned import tariffs affecting 14 nations—but strategically excluded India, sending the Indian rupee soaring. This move offered a major relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike, calming markets and raising optimism about a potential India–US interim trade deal.

This detailed blog explores the relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike, its ripple effects on markets, bond flows, and forex trading, along with 50+ exam-focused MCQs. Ideal for aspirants preparing for UPSC, SSC, Bank, Railways, and State PSCs.

📈 What Triggered the Relief?

  • US Tariffs Announced: Trump proposed higher import tariffs on July 8, pushing back their implementation from July 9 to August 1 

  • India Excluded: Crucially, India was left out of the tariff list—prompting relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike .

  • Trade Deal Talk: Trump’s comments on nearing a trade agreement further supported sentiment relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike 

  • Asian Market Calm: While peers like the yen and won remained stable, the rupee gained ground 

  • Forex Flows: Net inflows ~US$81 million in equities and ~$19.6 million in bonds on July 4 relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike 

📊 Market & Economic Impact

📉 Currency Movement

  • Onshore forward showing INR 85.70–85.75 vs. previous ~85.85—clear relief for rupee after India excluded from US tariff hike 

  • Spot rupee gained ~0.16% to 85.71 on July 8 

🏦 Equity & Bond Markets

  • FIIs invested US$81m in equities, ~$19.6m in bonds—the highest since trade discussions heated up 

⚖️ Crude & Dollar Index

  • Brent crude fell 0.6% to ~$69.2/bbl, helping stabilize the rupee 

  • US dollar index declined, aiding the INR 

⚠️ Lingering Concerns

  • Uncertainty remains—deal talks could stall again, triggering volatility. The previous rupee crash of 0.5% was due to 10% tariff fears

1. What major policy decision did the US announce on July 8, 2025?

A) A military agreement with India
B) Higher import tariffs on select countries
C) Complete free trade with Asia
D) Withdrawal from WTO
Answer: B
Explanation: The US announced higher tariffs targeting 14 countries, excluding India.

2. What was the key outcome for India in the tariff decision?

A) India faced sanctions
B) India was included in the tariff list
C) India was excluded from the tariff hike
D) India imposed counter-tariffs
Answer: C
Explanation: India was strategically left out, which brought relief to the Indian rupee and economy.

3. Which Indian currency indicator improved due to the exclusion?

A) Repo Rate
B) Inflation
C) Rupee’s exchange rate
D) Fiscal deficit
Answer: C
Explanation: The rupee gained strength as exclusion from tariffs meant reduced pressure on trade.

4. Why did the Indian stock market rally after the announcement?

A) FDI was banned
B) FII inflows increased
C) Rupee weakened
D) US imposed tariffs on India
Answer: B
Explanation: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) invested heavily due to lower trade risk.

5. Which sector in India benefited immediately after the US tariff announcement?

A) IT Services
B) Textiles
C) Mining
D) Real Estate
Answer: B
Explanation: Textile stocks surged as India’s exports faced no extra US duty, unlike Bangladesh.

6. Which of the following commodities declined after the news?

A) Gold
B) Brent Crude
C) Wheat
D) Cotton
Answer: B
Explanation: Brent crude prices fell 0.6%, reducing India’s import bill and strengthening the rupee.

7. What is the main driver behind currency value fluctuations in such global announcements?

A) Local monsoon
B) RBI repo rate
C) Global investor sentiment
D) Gold price in India
Answer: C
Explanation: Global confidence in a country’s economy affects currency demand and stability.

8. Which financial indicator dropped after India’s exclusion from the US tariff hike?

A) Dollar index
B) SENSEX
C) Repo rate
D) Inflation
Answer: A
Explanation: The dollar index fell, which further boosted emerging market currencies like the rupee.

9. India’s foreign exchange reserves are managed by

A) SEBI
B) Ministry of Commerce
C) RBI
D) IMF
Answer: C
Explanation: The Reserve Bank of India manages forex reserves and intervenes in currency markets.

10. Which country faced a 35% US tariff that helped Indian textile stocks?

A) Vietnam
B) Bangladesh
C) China
D) Sri Lanka
Answer: B
Explanation: US tariffs on Bangladesh’s textiles created an opportunity for Indian exports. 

11. What is the currency code of the Indian rupee?

A) INR
B) RUP
C) IND
D) IRU
Answer: A
Explanation: INR is the international currency code used for Indian rupee.

12. What is a ‘forward contract’ in forex?

A) A loan to exporters
B) A legal agreement to exchange currency at a future date
C) An equity bond
D) A type of mutual fund
Answer: B
Explanation: A forward contract locks in exchange rates for a future date, used to hedge risk.

13. On July 8, the one-month USD/INR forward opened at

A) 84.50
B) 86.10
C) 85.70–85.75
D) 85.10–85.15
Answer: C
Explanation: This indicated market stability and reduced fear after India’s exclusion.

14. Which authority regulates forex in India?

A) SEBI
B) RBI
C) NITI Aayog
D) Ministry of Finance
Answer: B
Explanation: RBI regulates forex reserves, inflows, outflows, and exchange rate mechanisms.

15. What is NDF in forex markets?

A) Non-Deliverable Forward
B) Net Domestic Fund
C) National Digital Forex
D) None of the above
Answer: A
Explanation: NDF is a derivative instrument to trade currency outside local jurisdictions.

16. Which of the following is NOT impacted directly by rupee strength?

A) Import costs
B) Export competitiveness
C) RBI dividend
D) Foreign travel expenses
Answer: C
Explanation: RBI dividend is based on profits, not directly linked to rupee movement.

17. Which key global indicator affects emerging market currencies?

A) Crude oil price
B) US dollar index
C) US bond yields
D) All of the above
Answer: D
Explanation: All three impact forex inflows/outflows and affect currency valuation.

18. Rupee strength helps reduce

A) Export earnings
B) Import costs
C) Tourism revenue
D) Inflation globally
Answer: B
Explanation: A stronger rupee makes dollar-denominated imports cheaper for India.

19. What does a high trade deficit mean?

A) Exports > Imports
B) Imports > Exports
C) Balanced trade
D) None of the above
Answer: B
Explanation: India typically has a trade deficit, which pressures the rupee during crises.

20. India’s biggest trading partner (2025) in goods is likely to be

A) China
B) UAE
C) USA
D) Russia
Answer: C
Explanation: USA has emerged as India’s largest trade partner in recent years.

31. Which US President announced the new tariffs in July 2025?

A) Joe Biden
B) Donald Trump
C) Kamala Harris
D) Ron DeSantis
Answer: B
Explanation: Former President Donald Trump, running again, announced a new wave of import tariffs.

32. How many countries were affected by the new US tariffs?

A) 10
B) 12
C) 14
D) 20
Answer: C
Explanation: 14 countries were targeted, but India was notably excluded.

33. India’s textile exports surged due to US tariffs on which country?

A) Bangladesh
B) Sri Lanka
C) China
D) Pakistan
Answer: A
Explanation: US tariffs on Bangladeshi textiles made Indian exports more competitive.

34. Exclusion from tariffs shows India’s

A) Weak trade policy
B) Poor diplomacy
C) Strategic economic importance to the US
D) Need for aid
Answer: C
Explanation: India was excluded likely due to strategic and economic ties with the US.

35. Which international currency is most used in global trade?

A) Euro
B) Yuan
C) US Dollar
D) Pound
Answer: C
Explanation: The US dollar dominates global trade settlements and reserves.

36. The Dollar Index fell after India’s exclusion. What does this indicate?

A) Strengthening of USD
B) Weakening of USD globally
C) Trade war escalation
D) Tariff repeal
Answer: B
Explanation: A weaker dollar often strengthens emerging market currencies like the rupee.

37. Which financial institution monitors India’s current account and trade balance?

A) SEBI
B) RBI
C) Ministry of External Affairs
D) NITI Aayog
Answer: B
Explanation: The RBI tracks balance of payments and current account trends.

38. Which ministry handles India’s foreign trade negotiations?

A) Ministry of Finance
B) Ministry of External Affairs
C) Ministry of Commerce & Industry
D) Ministry of Corporate Affairs
Answer: C
Explanation: The Ministry of Commerce manages international trade agreements.

39. Which Indian financial market would react first to FII activity?

A) Real estate
B) Banking
C) Stock markets
D) Currency printing
Answer: C
Explanation: Stock markets react immediately to Foreign Institutional Investor flows.

40. One impact of US tariffs globally is:

A) Currency stability
B) Cheaper imports
C) Trade uncertainty and volatility
D) Strengthened trade alliances
Answer: C
Explanation: Tariffs often disrupt supply chains and increase global economic uncertainty.

41. Why does the rupee appreciate when FII inflows increase?

A) More foreign demand for rupees
B) RBI sells gold
C) India prints less currency
D) Inflation goes down
Answer: A
Explanation: More demand for INR from foreign investors leads to currency appreciation.

42. Rupee appreciation is good for

A) Exporters
B) Importers
C) Farmers
D) Gold traders
Answer: B
Explanation: Importers benefit as they pay fewer rupees per dollar of goods.

43. What is the impact of a strong rupee on exports?

A) Makes exports cheaper
B) Boosts exports
C) Reduces export competitiveness
D) No effect
Answer: C
Explanation: A stronger rupee makes Indian goods more expensive for foreign buyers.

44. What is a trade surplus?

A) When imports exceed exports
B) When exports exceed imports
C) When foreign aid increases
D) When budget is balanced
Answer: B
Explanation: A trade surplus occurs when a country exports more than it imports.

45. Which is NOT a major factor influencing currency strength?

A) Inflation rate
B) Political stability
C) Oil imports
D) Monsoon forecast
Answer: D
Explanation: Monsoon impacts agriculture, not directly currency strength.

46. Which of the following helps control excessive rupee volatility?

A) NITI Aayog interventions
B) RBI interventions in forex market
C) SEBI policies
D) IMF loans
Answer: B
Explanation: RBI buys or sells USD to stabilize sharp rupee movements.

47. Which of these would most likely weaken the rupee?

A) Strong export data
B) Rising FDI
C) High oil prices
D) US dollar weakening
Answer: C
Explanation: India imports oil. Higher prices raise dollar demand, pressuring INR.

48. What is the function of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)?

A) To restrict trade
B) To increase tariffs
C) To promote trade by reducing barriers
D) To reduce domestic production
Answer: C
Explanation: FTAs eliminate/reduce tariffs between partner countries to boost trade.

49. What happens if India had been included in the tariff list?

A) Rupee would strengthen
B) Exporters would gain
C) Rupee would weaken
D) No impact
Answer: C
Explanation: Tariffs hurt exports, reduce dollar inflow, and weaken rupee.

50. The term “Relief for Rupee” indicates

A) Rupee depreciation
B) Government bailout
C) Reduction of downward pressure on INR
D) Withdrawal of old notes
Answer: C
Explanation: It means the rupee was saved from further depreciation due to positive news.

51. A weaker dollar globally usually benefits

A) US exporters only
B) Emerging market currencies like the rupee
C) Only European Union
D) None
Answer: B
Explanation: When the dollar weakens, capital often shifts to stronger emerging economies.

52. Which of the following countries is NOT a major textile competitor of India?

A) Bangladesh
B) Vietnam
C) Germany
D) Pakistan
Answer: C
Explanation: Germany is more industrialized and not a key low-cost textile producer.

✅ Final Thoughts

The recent decision by the United States to exclude India from a sweeping tariff hike has brought much-needed relief for the rupee and re-energized investor confidence in India’s economic stability. While 14 countries faced stiff tariff revisions, India’s strategic exemption signals strong diplomatic and trade relations between the two nations.

For aspirants preparing for competitive exams like UPSC, SSC, Bank PO, and state-level tests, this development offers a real-world case study on how global trade policy directly affects domestic currency, stock markets, and foreign capital flows.

Understanding events like this helps you:

  • Strengthen your grasp on international economics

  • Predict macroeconomic trends

  • Master high-weightage GK & current affairs questions

As India continues to play a central role in global supply chains, such decisions will only grow in frequency and importance. Keeping an eye on developments like “Relief for Rupee After India Excluded from US Tariff Hike” ensures you stay informed, exam-ready, and globally aware.

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