📈 India GDP Growth Forecast 2025 – Full Analysis with Key Points and MCQs

The India GDP growth forecast 2025 has attracted attention from economists, students, and global investors alike. According to the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM), India’s economy is expected to grow by 6.5% in the fiscal year 2025–26. This forecast comes at a time when global uncertainties like inflation, trade disruptions, and geopolitical conflicts continue to challenge world economies.

The India GDP growth forecast 2025 reflects a mix of optimism and resilience. For students preparing for UPSC, SSC, Banking, and State PSCs, this topic is highly relevant and likely to appear in both objective and descriptive sections of exams.

🧾 What is the India GDP Growth Forecast 2025?

The India GDP growth forecast 2025 represents the government’s expectation of how fast the economy will expand. A 6.5% growth rate suggests robust activity across key sectors like infrastructure, services, and manufacturing, backed by rising domestic consumption and strategic policy measures.

🔍 Key Factors Behind the India GDP Growth Forecast 2025

Here are the main reasons why experts are confident about the India GDP growth forecast 2025:

✅ 1. Capital Investment in Infrastructure

The government’s push on capital expenditure (₹11 lakh crore in Budget 2025–26) is expected to stimulate jobs and create a multiplier effect on economic growth.

✅ 2. Boost from PLI Schemes

Production Linked Incentives (PLI) across 14 sectors — including semiconductors, electronics, and EVs — are adding momentum to the India GDP growth forecast 2025.

✅ 3. Stable Macroeconomic Indicators

Controlled inflation (~5%), healthy forex reserves, and a stable rupee have strengthened the case for a 6.5% India GDP growth forecast 2025.

✅ 4. Rural Consumption Recovery

Rural markets are seeing demand rebound, with better monsoons and expanding credit, helping the India GDP growth forecast 2025 stay on track.

📊 Sector-Wise Outlook Supporting India GDP Growth Forecast 2025

SectorGrowth PotentialContribution to GDP
AgricultureModerate (weather-based)16%
ManufacturingStrong via PLI & exports18%
ServicesHighest growth driver53%
InfrastructureGovernment-led boom13%

🧠 Key Points – India GDP Growth Forecast 2025

  • 📈 India’s projected GDP growth: 6.5% (2025–26)

  • 🏛️ Forecast by: EAC-PM chaired by S Mahendra Dev

  • 🛠️ Major drivers: Infra investment, PLI schemes, rising domestic demand

  • 🌍 Risks include global oil price volatility and trade slowdown

  • 🧑‍🎓 Highly relevant for UPSC, SSC, Banking, and MBA aspirants

1. Who projected India’s 6.5% GDP growth for FY 2025–26?
A. RBI
B. NITI Aayog
C. S Mahendra Dev (EAC-PM)
D. Finance Minister
Answer: C. S Mahendra Dev

2. What is the expected GDP growth rate in the India GDP growth forecast 2025?
A. 4.5%
B. 5.2%
C. 6.5%
D. 7.1%
Answer: C. 6.5%

3. Which sector is expected to drive India’s GDP growth the most?
A. Agriculture
B. Services
C. Fisheries
D. Forestry
Answer: B. Services

4. What does PLI stand for?
A. Price Limit Indicator
B. Performance Linked Incentive
C. Production Linked Incentive
D. Project Licensing Investment
Answer: C. Production Linked Incentive

5. A strong India GDP growth forecast 2025 helps in—
A. Decreasing jobs
B. Economic slowdown
C. Attracting foreign investment
D. Increasing fiscal deficit
Answer: C. Attracting foreign investment 

6. Which organization monitors and maintains India’s national income data?
A. RBI
B. Ministry of Finance
C. CSO (MoSPI)
D. SEBI
Answer: C. CSO (MoSPI)
📘 The Central Statistics Office compiles GDP data in India.

7. What kind of GDP growth is considered ideal for a developing country like India?
A. 2–3%
B. 4–5%
C. 6–7%
D. Above 10%
Answer: C. 6–7%

8. Which one is NOT a factor supporting the India GDP growth forecast 2025?
A. Rising domestic consumption
B. Infrastructure investments
C. Global recession
D. PLI schemes
Answer: C. Global recession

9. What is India’s rank among fastest-growing major economies in 2025?
A. 1st
B. 2nd
C. 3rd
D. 5th
Answer: A. 1st

10. What is the estimated fiscal deficit target for 2025 as per Union Budget?
A. 3%
B. 4.5%
C. 6.4%
D. 5.9%
Answer: D. 5.9%

11. What does higher GDP generally mean for citizens?
A. More taxes
B. Better living standards
C. Lower FDI
D. Decrease in savings
Answer: B. Better living standards

12. What kind of economy does India have?
A. Socialist
B. Mixed
C. Capitalist
D. Communist
Answer: B. Mixed

13. Which of the following schemes directly supports manufacturing and GDP growth?
A. Mid-Day Meal Scheme
B. Make in India
C. RTE Act
D. MGNREGA
Answer: B. Make in India

14. Which sector is least contributing to India’s GDP in 2025?
A. Agriculture
B. Manufacturing
C. Services
D. Construction
Answer: A. Agriculture

15. Which of these economic terms refers to the total value of goods and services produced?
A. CPI
B. GDP
C. Repo rate
D. FDI
Answer: B. GDP

16. How often is India’s GDP data released?
A. Monthly
B. Quarterly
C. Annually
D. Bi-annually
Answer: B. Quarterly

17. What is the base year for calculating India’s GDP (as of 2025)?
A. 2011–12
B. 2016–17
C. 2020–21
D. 2004–05
Answer: A. 2011–12

18. What role does RBI play in GDP growth?
A. Announces taxes
B. Controls inflation
C. Conducts elections
D. Regulates agriculture
Answer: B. Controls inflation

19. What will help sustain the India GDP growth forecast 2025?
A. Demand-side inflation
B. Low employment
C. Consistent policy reforms
D. Political instability
Answer: C. Consistent policy reforms

20. What is the full form of MoSPI?
A. Ministry of Special Programs of India
B. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation
C. Ministry of Social Policy and India
D. Monitoring and Statistics of Private Investment
Answer: B. Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation

21. Which global body supports India’s reform-driven growth model?
A. WHO
B. IMF
C. UNESCO
D. FIFA
Answer: B. IMF

22. What is GDP at constant prices also known as?
A. Nominal GDP
B. Real GDP
C. Fiscal GDP
D. Core GDP
Answer: B. Real GDP

23. Which initiative promotes digital transactions and supports GDP growth?
A. Swachh Bharat
B. Digital India
C. PM-KISAN
D. Beti Bachao
Answer: B. Digital India

24. What kind of investment boosts long-term GDP growth?
A. Portfolio investment
B. Consumer credit
C. Capital investment
D. Insurance premium
Answer: C. Capital investment

25. Which among the following affects the India GDP growth forecast 2025 negatively?
A. Infrastructure development
B. Fiscal deficit management
C. Global financial crisis
D. Banking sector reforms
Answer: C. Global financial crisis

26. When GDP grows faster than population, it leads to—
A. Stagflation
B. Negative per capita income
C. Higher per capita income
D. Price hike
Answer: C. Higher per capita income

27. GDP per capita is calculated as—
A. GDP × Population
B. GDP ÷ Population
C. GDP + Exports
D. GDP – Imports
Answer: B. GDP ÷ Population

28. Which of the following sectors has the most rapid digital transformation aiding growth?
A. Agriculture
B. Mining
C. FinTech and Digital Services
D. Textiles
Answer: C. FinTech and Digital Services

29. Which country is India’s top trading partner in 2025 (as per projections)?
A. USA
B. China
C. UAE
D. Russia
Answer: A. USA

30. Why is inflation control important for GDP growth?
A. It increases government revenue
B. It ensures stable prices and encourages investment
C. It causes wage decrease
D. It stops imports
Answer: B. It ensures stable prices and encourages investment

🌎 Challenges to Watch Despite a Strong Forecast

While the India GDP growth forecast 2025 remains positive, the following global and domestic factors could pose risks:

  • 🌐 Geopolitical instability in oil-producing nations

  • 💹 Slow global demand impacting exports

  • 💧 Climate-related disruptions to agriculture

  • 🏦 Tight global financial conditions

✨ Final Thoughts – India GDP Growth Forecast 2025

The India GDP growth forecast 2025 is a testimony to India’s resilience in navigating economic recovery, macroeconomic reforms, and investment-led development. While challenges remain, India’s growth outlook remains among the strongest globally.

For students, understanding the India GDP growth forecast 2025 is not just about numbers — it’s about knowing the forces shaping India’s future. Whether in a GS paper, interview, or economics class, this is a topic you must master.

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